Jaw-Jaw With Belarus, Revisited Amid Ukraine War

In 2021, Michael Kimmage wrote, “Belarus and the Ukraine Trap,” where he argued the United States should adopt a realistic diplomatic relationship with Belarus that takes into account its strategic partnership with Russia and learns from overpromises made to Ukraine. Five years later, we asked Michael to revisit his arguments. Image: President of BelarusIn your 2021 article, you named Belarus as one of the most likely places for a war to break out between Russia and the West. Belarus became a staging ground for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, yet a direct confrontation with NAT